Words: Josh Millar
Images: Offside Sports Photography (Main) / Driblab (Article)
When that starting lineup is announced, who do you trust to come off the bench if things go wrong?
Sometimes players are just better when they’re sat off the pitch getting angry. Look at Ole before he took the wheel or Gareth Bale last year: both the ultimate supersubs in the Champions League final. But who can do it on a regular basis? Who can managers turn to to change a game on its head? There’s some data which proves who is the best.
First up, goals. Goals are what we all love, and no one is more likely to score one this season than Paco Alcácer. He’s expected to score nearly 6 goals every 90 minutes, which is... absolutely ridiculous. It’s meant he’s scored 14 in 20 in the Bundesliga so far, and the Dortmund manager has just straight up stopped starting him because he knows that Paco Gets Goals from the bench. Among the other scorers is West Ham poacher Javier Hernández and Wolves’ stupidly fast man Adama Traoré.
In terms of making goals, Juve’s Federico Bernardeschi is streets ahead of everyone. He’s likely to make nearly 2.5 goals per 90 minutes. Yeah, we know you can’t score half a goal, but that’s how the numbers work sometimes. And it’s so many that he’s basically made Paulo Dybala want to leave Juventus. Luckily for the Old Lady, they’re bringing in one of the other highest chance creators in Aaron Ramsey who, apparently, creates more than a goal per game.
When you weigh it all up though, goals and chance, the Ultimate Supersub is Lazio’s Joaquin Correa—the Argentinian is likely to score three goals and create 1.5 every 90 minutes he plays. Madness.
Does this data prove that these players should start more, or just be left on the bench cos that’s where they strive? Not sure. You can prove anything with numbers, can’t you? Still interesting, though. It’s still interesting.Did you like that? You should probably subscribe to our quarterly magazine, then. You won't regret it.